• Gold: 1,462.65 -1.86
  • Silver: 16.93 -0.02
  • Euro: 1.101 -0.000
  • USDX: 98.34 0.023
  • Oil: 57.35 0.55

Silver – 1993 and 2001 Repeat

The M2 measure of money supply has increased about 6.7% per year since 1971 when President Nixon severed the last hint of gold backing the dollar. The subsequent deluge of digital dollars levitated prices for oil, trucks, hamburgers, the S&P 500 Index, silver and almost everything else. Examine the log scale graph of M2 and smoothed silver prices. M2 rises, while silver prices increase to unsustainable levels, fall too low and then rise again.

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Silver: A Long Term Perspective

Lets start with a 16 year monthly chart for silver which seems like a long time but in the big picture it only shows us a small part of its history. The dominate chart pattern is the 2011 bear market downtrend channel which is almost perfectly parallel. I purposely left the top rail of the 2011 downtrend channel and the top rail of the 2016 triangle thin so you can see the critical area silver is now trading at, red circle. So far this month silver has traded as high as 15.95 which puts it right against the top rail of the 2011 bear market downtrend channel and the top rail of the 2016 triangle.

Surest Way to Overthrow Capitalism

As the price of silver rose over 2% this week, the cobasis basically held steady. There is some buying of metal here, and some speculation too. This is not exactly the picture of a feeding frenzy, with an outlook of silver-to-da-moon. But nor is it a sign of a speculative blip, with a prognosis of a crash. The Monetary Metals Silver Fundamental Price rose 12 cents, to $15.91. This week, of course, the stock market went up. Does the incredible bull market roar back to life? We are not stock market prognosticators, but we don’t think so if the Fed stays the course. As we’ve written, the discount on future earnings is higher now and therefore the present value is lower. Also, the interest expense is up and this will crush the marginal debtors.

Gold to Silver Ratio: So What?

Silver prices move up and down farther than gold prices. That pushes the gold-silver ratio too high, like now, when silver is inexpensive. Or it pushes the ratio too low, as in January 1980, when silver prices zoomed upward too far and too fast. When the gold to silver ratio exceeds 80, it is often a good time to buy silver.

Is the Buyer’s Market for Silver Coming to an End?

Few markets are as depressed – and, as many analysts argue, suppressed – as silver. Prices for the white metal continue to languish in a low-level trading range amidst lackluster demand. The upshot for investors is that they can now obtain silver bullion at both a low spot price and a low premium above spot. How long this buyer’s market will is unknowable last. But given silver’s manic-depressive personality, prices could launch explosively higher at any time.

Silver Investors See Palladium as the “Canary in...

The precious metals sector has just one standout performer this year, and that is palladium. Lately the market for that metal has gotten more than just hot. Developments there could have implications for the LBMA and the rickety fractional reserve system of inventory underpinning all of the physical precious metals markets.

Hands of a Broken Clock

There are times when every investor has to look long and deep into a mirror and determine whether a well-thought-out strategy is actionable or whether it is simply an ad hoc "hunch," barely worth chasing. With regard to silver, this is just one of those times.

Silver: Supported by D.C. and The Deep State

Silver is necessary for military, computer and medical applications. Investors often prefer silver bullion and coins because they don’t trust government, the Deep State or the Federal Reserve to protect the value of currencies. Investor demand for silver will rise as central banks and politicians lose credibility. Expanding wars will increase demand for silver. Rising energy prices will escalate mining costs. The price of silver has little downside risk and considerable upward potential, perhaps to triple digits within a few years.

Silver Bottoming Almost Complete

See how the bottoms and tops of the respective charts line up. Last year, when the US Dollar index was in decline (between the two dotted red lines), silver failed to rise. This was also the case in 2002 (see between the two red lines). However, when the US Dollar continued into a deeper fall (after the two red lines), silver eventually started to rise significantly. The Dollar is currently making its last attempts to go higher, before we will see a major decline. When that decline starts (which is likely to be soon), the silver price will take off a big way.